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Abstract:FTSE 250 shares see a surge in August 2023 due to falling inflation. Discover promising investment opportunities amid economic uncertainties.
In an unexpected turn of events, the FTSE 250, the UK's domestically focused index, overcame a stagnant performance for the better part of 2023 to rise by 3.75% in the past five days. The sudden uplift, pushing the index to approximately 19,264 points, has been largely attributed to falling inflation.
In August 2023, Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation dropped from 8.7% in May to 7.9% in June, a decrease exceeding the forecasted 8.2% drop. The surprise fall has led market expectations from Schroders for the base rate to increase to 6.5% or as high as 7% in a worst-case scenario according to JP Morgan, to dwindle.
While this decrease in inflation provides hope for investors, it's worth noting that the 7.9% CPI inflation is still considerably above the 7.0% mark of March 2022, and nearly quadruple the official 2% target.
The rise in base rate to a projected 5.75% by year's end has stirred the concern of analysts who foresee it remaining steady for an extended period. Former Bank of England Governor Mervyn King and Legal & General chief investment officer Sonja Laud share this viewpoint, warning that such a rate increase might push the UK into a recession.
Despite this, FTSE 250 shares, which largely depend on a healthy UK economy, still hold potential. Where there's doubt, there's often opportunity, and there are still numerous FTSE 250 companies worth considering.
Currys, a familiar name among UK investors, has experienced a significant 70% dip in share value over the past five years. Despite a disappointing full-year result announced on 6 July, with earnings before interest and tax plummeting by 24% to £66 million year-over-year, there seems to be potential for recovery.
NextEnergy Solar Fund stands out for its robust 7.7% dividend yield and a noteworthy discount on its net asset value. As it aims to grow in the energy storage market — a priority given last winter's energy crisis — it is a company to keep an eye on.
Lastly, JD Wetherspoon shares have surged by 54% year-to-date, driven by post-pandemic spending, good weather, and its reputation for value amid the cost-of-living crisis. A recent survey by market researchers CGA indicated that the average income of Wetherspoon customers is 7% higher than the average high street pub consumer, pointing to the company's wide appeal.
While inflation continues to exceed the official target, the drop in CPI in August 2023 has undoubtedly injected new life into the FTSE 250 index. As the base rate is projected to rise by the end of the year, investors must weigh the potential risks and rewards.
Despite the uncertainties, certain FTSE 250 shares present attractive investment opportunities, driven by various factors such as recovery potential, strong dividend yields, and increased consumer spending. Investors seeking to take advantage of the current market conditions should look into the companies mentioned and stay updated on the latest financial news.
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Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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