简体中文
繁體中文
English
Pусский
日本語
ภาษาไทย
Tiếng Việt
Bahasa Indonesia
Español
हिन्दी
Filippiiniläinen
Français
Deutsch
Português
Türkçe
한국어
العربية
Abstract:Most economists expect to see a 15 basis-point move to 0.25% today
Click Here: After you read it, Daily Routine with WikiFx
Westpac's Bill Evan believes last week's inflation reality check of 5.1 percent is enough to move rates in May.
RBA has avoided raising rates during federal elections.
Most economists expect the Reserve Bank to raise rates for the first time in eleven years today.
While most analysts expect a 15 basis point move to 0.25 percent, some zealots expect a 40 basis point move.
ARET chief economist Brian Parker expects the RBA to raise rates by 25 basis points every month this year.
But, given the RBA's lack of courage, John Hawkins, a senior lecturer at the University of Canberra, suspects the waiting game will continue.
Concerns about raising rates during an election campaign will also be on the minds of the RBA today.
Interested in future inflation?
Concerned about future inflation, Hawkins believes the RBA would prefer the market do some of the heavy lifting.
Given the low oil prices and the budget petrol price relief, the RBA may be second-guessing its inflation forecast for the June quarter.
With the recent strengthening of the Australian dollar, Hawkins reminds investors that some supply chain issues and skilled labour shortages are expected to ease.
“Unless wage growth picks up significantly, inflation may start to fall on its own, without the Reserve Bank having to raise rates,” Hawkins noted.
Time for emergency rates is over.
Regardless, some economists believe the time for emergency 0.10 percent interest rates has passed.
Westpac's chief economist Bill Evan is among those who think last week's inflation reality check of 5.1 percent is enough to justify raising rates in May.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
Import duty on gold was slashed from 15% to 6% in Union Budget 2024-25. But did it stop gold smuggling in India? Read this report where we unravelled the truth.
Gold is in everyone's mind amid the latest Israel-Iran conflict update involving attacks by the US on the Iranian nuclear sites. Check our gold price forecast report amid a worsening geopolitical climate.
Despite a recent short-term rebound in the British pound, a number of macroeconomic risks are emerging. Major institutions expect the pound to come under pressure in the second half of the year. Investors should closely monitor future policy and market dynamics.
J.P. Morgan is one of the most recognised names in global finance, operating in more than 100 countries and providing a wide range of services to governments, large corporations, institutions, and individuals. It has built a reputation over many years, supported by its international presence and broad regulatory coverage.